Season Profile
- Record
- 3-1
- Coach
- Greg Dempsey
- Football league
- Catholic High School League · OSPR 55.0
- Division
- Division 2
- Region
- Region 6
Central Catholic Fighting-Irish (
3-1
)
Toledo, OH
2026 Team Snapshot
Model outlook updated Sep 7, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
OSPR Standing
55.7
Through Week 3
- Statewide
- #211
- Division
- #25
- Region
- #5
Previous: After Week 2
OSPR 62.1 · Statewide #144 · Division #20 · Region #2
Season Outlook
- Current Harbin points
- 7.13
- Projected regional seed
- #6
- Most likely record
- 5-5
- Expected wins
- 5.4
- Playoff qualification
- 82.9%
Next Opponent
Friday, Sep 18, 2026
Projected score: 23–22 (54.9% win estimate)
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 13, 2026 6:38 PM
More OSPR details Rating components, playoff chances, and next-game scenarios
Detailed OSPR rating
Team Rating
What is OSPR?OSPR
55.7
B
Tier
Rank
#25
Harbin
7.13
Rising
Confidence
40%
Show Legacy Ratings
ELO
1540
CalPreps
1.32
FPI
9.95
OSPR Season Outlook
Monte Carlo projections based on current OSPR ratings and Harbin rules.
Updated Sep 7, 2026 2:00 AM · 10,000 simulations
Regular Season Projections
- Most likely record
- 5–5
- Expected wins
- 5.4
- Average Harbin
- 17.07
- Likely regional seed
- #6
Harbin range: 2.55–33.30
The record is the most common result; Harbin points are averaged across all simulations.
Playoff Chances Now
- Qualify
- 82.9%
- Home position
- 60.1%
- First-round bye
- 25.8%
Top 12
Top 8
Top 4
Depending on the Next Game
vs. Toledo St. Francis
Win
18.49 Harbin
· #4 seed
90.4% in · 71.6% home · 35.6% bye
Loss
15.60 Harbin
· #6 seed
75.1% in · 48.2% home · 15.7% bye
2026 Schedule
OSPR percentages show Toledo Central Catholic's chance to win.
Schedule predictions use the current OSPR ratings for this season.
Final
Aug 21, 2026
9
Pick: W by 4 (62.2%)
Projected score: 27–23
Low calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 20, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Aug 27, 2026
Portage Central
14
No pregame prediction recorded
Final
Sep 04, 2026
38
Pick: W by 3 (59.5%)
Projected score: 24–21
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 3, 2026 10:35 AM
Final
Sep 11, 2026
Pick: W by 5 (67.2%)
Projected score: 24–19
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 10, 2026 10:35 AM
Scheduled
Sep 18, 2026
Pick: W by 1 (54.9%)
Projected score: 23–22
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 13, 2026 6:38 PM
Scheduled
Sep 25, 2026
Lumen Christi
(3-0)
Jackson, MI
Pick: L by 1 (46.6%)
Projected score: 23–24
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 13, 2026 6:38 PM
Scheduled
Oct 03, 2026
Detroit Catholic Central
(3-0)
Novi, MI
Pick: L by 6 (30.4%)
Projected score: 21–27
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 13, 2026 6:38 PM
Scheduled
Oct 09, 2026
Birmingham Brother Rice
(3-0)
Bloomfield Hills, MI
Pick: W by 5 (66.7%)
Projected score: 25–20
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 13, 2026 6:38 PM
Scheduled
Oct 16, 2026
Orchard Lake St. Mary
(2-1)
Orchard Lake, MI
Pick: L by 2 (45.6%)
Projected score: 23–25
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 13, 2026 6:38 PM
Scheduled
Oct 23, 2026
Warren De La Salle
(1-1)
Warren, MI
Pick: L by 1 (48.2%)
Projected score: 22–23
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 13, 2026 6:38 PM
| Date | Location | Opponent | Division | Result | Score | OSPR Prediction | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21 | H | Division 2, Region 8 | W | 27-9 |
Pick: W by 4 (62.2%) Projected score: 27–23
Low calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Aug 20, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 08/27 | H |
Portage Central
|
N/A | W | 24-14 | No pregame prediction recorded | |
| 09/04 | A | Division 2, Region 5 | L | 25-38 |
Pick: W by 3 (59.5%) Projected score: 24–21
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 3, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/11 | A | Division 2, Region 6 | W | 47-7 |
Pick: W by 5 (67.2%) Projected score: 24–19
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Pregame projection Sep 10, 2026 10:35 AM |
||
| 09/18 | H | Division 1, Region 2 | — |
Pick: W by 1 (54.9%) Projected score: 23–22
High calibration
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 13, 2026 6:38 PM |
|||
| 09/25 | A |
Lumen Christi
(3-0)
(Jackson, MI)
|
— |
Pick: L by 1 (46.6%) Projected score: 23–24
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 13, 2026 6:38 PM |
|||
| 10/03 | A |
Detroit Catholic Central
(3-0)
(Novi, MI)
|
— |
Pick: L by 6 (30.4%) Projected score: 21–27
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 13, 2026 6:38 PM |
|||
| 10/09 | H |
Birmingham Brother Rice
(3-0)
(Bloomfield Hills, MI)
|
— |
Pick: W by 5 (66.7%) Projected score: 25–20
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 13, 2026 6:38 PM |
|||
| 10/16 | H |
Orchard Lake St. Mary
(2-1)
(Orchard Lake, MI)
|
— |
Pick: L by 2 (45.6%) Projected score: 23–25
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 13, 2026 6:38 PM |
|||
| 10/23 | A |
Warren De La Salle
(1-1)
(Warren, MI)
|
— |
Pick: L by 1 (48.2%) Projected score: 22–23
High calibration
Limited Data
Close Game
Upset Possible
Version 2026.1 Live projection Sep 13, 2026 6:38 PM |
Disclaimer: These ratings are provided for informational purposes only. These ratings are computed using my implementation of the OHSAA playoff rating system outlined here, and do not reflect any personal opinions or bias regarding the relative strength or ability of any individual teams. By viewing these ratings, you agree that any misinformation provided is unintentional. Further, you also agree that the site owner and/or content writer cannot and will not be held responsible for any damages resulting from use of information published on this site.
